The drama is finally over: Tom Brady has officially left the New England Patriots, and has went to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on a deal that will pay him over 30 million dollars annually for the next 2 years. So what does this mean for both teams? Obviously, this is a big win for Tampa. They were on the cusp of a playoff berth last season, losing multiple close games and being without their top 2 receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin for the last 2 games as well. The Marked Sports Model had their offense ranked 17th last season, which will most definitely improve, as replacing Jameis Winston with Tom Brady will no question make this offense more efficient and more potent compared to last year. Even if Brady is not was he once was, he still performed well last year with a subpar supporting cast in New England. Now in Tampa, he has a chance to put up phenomenal numbers. In addition to an already great offense, if Tampa can resign Breshad Perriman, or bring in Antonio Brown or Julian Edelman, Tampa's offense will be a problem for any defense it faces.
Besides the offense, many people overlook that Tampa defense, who our models had ranked 7th in the entire league last season. So combine a top 10 defense with a likely top 10 offense, and you have a super bowl contender in the making.
For New England, the loss of Brady creates uncertainty at the QB position for the first time in decades. It is likely that Jarrett Stidham or a rookie will be the starting QB for the patriots next season, which will bring down a patriots offense that we had ranked 9th to end the year. They haven't made any additions to the offense as well, which makes a regression even more likely. New England had the #3 ranked defense according to the Marked Sports Model, which will fall a bit due to the loss of Danny Shelton, Jamie Collins, Kyle Van Noy, and Duron Harmon, but is still a really good group that we still have projected to be top 10 again next year. Despite a lack of optimism, the Patriots should once again be competitive no matter who they have at QB next year due to a very good offensive line, defense, and coaching staff, but their super bowl chances definitely have worsened since free agency has begun.
All rankings and stats provided in this article were provided by the Marked Sports predictive software system and proprietary stats & analytics found exclusively at Marked Sports.